大宗商品价格下跌，料澳洲资本支出将进一步下降

汇通财经APP讯——

澳洲企业预计在未来一段时间内将进一步减少投资，释放了更为明确的信号——澳洲长达十多年的矿产投资热潮正逐渐降温。澳洲统计局周四公布的数据显示，企业预计与前一年相比，到2016年6月投资将减少12.4%。

随着澳洲北部价值数十亿美元的液态天然气项目建设完工，预计商业投资将会逐步下降。在数据公布之后澳元兑美元走低。据澳新银行本周的报告显示，未来三年矿产和能源基础设施投资将减少60%。在2013年达到550亿澳元的峰值后，2017年新的液态天然气投资预计将减少至50亿澳元以下。


中国需要大量铁矿石来完成基础设施建设，澳洲的矿产和能源公司不断增加产能以满足中国高速发展的需要，因此近几年对自然资源业的投资使澳洲经济快速发展。

但是随着像铁矿石这类大宗商品逐渐供大于求以及价格下跌，澳洲对新的资源项目投资不断下降。去年澳洲最大的出口产品铁矿石的价格下跌将近50%。预计未来几年铁矿石和天然气出口将继续增加以支持行业增长。

澳洲统计局表示，2014年第四季度商业投资下降了2.2%，可能造成第四季度经济增速下降。到2015年6月总的资本支出预计将比前一年下降8.6%。



Australian Capital Spending Set to Slide

SYDNEY--Australian firms expect to invest much less in the period ahead, a further sign that a decade long mining-investment boom is gradually drawing to a close.
Businesses are expecting to scale back investment in the year through June 2016 by 12.4% compared with the prior 12-month period, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday.

The expected drop in business investment will come as the construction phase of a number of multibillion-dollar liquefied natural gas, or LNG, projects dotting the country's north are completed. The Australian dollar moved moderately lower against the U.S currency after the data.
According to a report this week by ANZ Bank, mining and energy infrastructure investment is set to drop by more than 60% over the next three years. New LNG investment is forecast to decline to less than A$5 billion in 2017, after peaking at around A$55 billion in 2013, ANZ said.

Investment in the resources sector has supercharged the Australian economy over recent years, as mining and energy firms have clamoured to meet the needs of a rapidly expanding China, where large amounts of iron ore has been required to build infrastructure in sprouting cities.
But fresh spending on new capital works in Australia is now running low as global supply of commodities like iron ore becomes plentiful and prices fall. The price of iron ore, Australia's biggest export, has dropped by close to 50% in the last year. Still, an export surge in iron ore and natural gas is expected to continue growing in coming years, supporting growth.
Total business investment in the final three months of last year fell by 2.2%, the ABS said, which is likely to drag on economic growth in that quarter. Total capital spending in the year through June 2015 is expected to be 8.6% lower than in the prior year.